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Inside Israel

Election 2009 - Latest polls


By Stan Goodenough
November 26, 2008

With its collective eye on the February 10 general election, the Israeli electorate continues to move right, according to the most recently published results of nationwide surveys.

On November 25, Israel's Channel 1 reported that if elections were held today the outcome would be as follows:

The center-right Likud Party, led by former Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (June 1996 to July 1999), would win 37 seats.

Prime Minister Ehud Olmert's centrist-liberal Kadima Party, founded by Ariel Sharon in 2005 and now led by Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni who would become prime minister if Kadima wins, would get 25 seats.

The once center-left but today more leftist social democratic Labor Party, led by former Prime Minister Ehud Barak (July 1999 to March 2001), and which at the pinnacle of its political life in 1968 commanded 63 seats, would win just seven.

Most of the smaller parties would lose some of the seats they currently hold, among them the ultra-orthodox Shas Party that is traditionally a king maker - wooed by both sides, it would drop from 12 to 11 - and the rightist "Israel our Home" (from 11 to eight) and National Religious/National Union parties (from nine to four). The latter is being disbanded to form a new party: "Jewish Home.")

The leftist Meretz Party would gain three seats (it now has five); the Green Party would get three seats (it currently has none); the religious Yahadut Hatorah Party would go from six to eight.

Israel's three Arab parties - whose members are blatantly pro-Palestinian and antisemitic - would increase their seats from nine to 10.

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